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Novak Djokovic vs Aslan Karatsev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Djokovic vs Karatsev analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Novak Djokovic vs Aslan Karatsev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Djokovic 2 - 1 Karatsev

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Djokovic has won 54.9% of points on their second serve, while Karatsev has won 44%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Djokovic, in recent form, has won 54.14% of their opponent's second serve points, while Karatsev has won 50%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.25% and 32.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Djokovic has saved 62.16% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Karatsev has saved 52.73% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Djokovic has won 83.93% of matches played (W/L 47/ 9), with Karatsev winning 45.16% (W/L 14/ 17) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52). Karatsev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 156/ 88), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92% of matches (W/L 23/ 2), where as Karatsev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Djokovic winning 2 times and Karatsev being victorious 1 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Djokovic winning 6 and Karatsev winning 2. The last match between Djokovic and Karatsev was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 10-05-2022, Second, Clay with Novak Djokovic getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:16:34.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Djokovic and Karatsev have played a deciding set 1 times, with Djokovic winning 0 times and Karatsev 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Djokovic winning 0, and Karatsev 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Djokovic has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.05 while Karatsev has played against players with an average rank of 183.32.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Djokovic has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Karatsev has won 56% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Djokovic has converted 45.62% of breakpoint opportunities, and Karatsev has converted 36.54% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Novak Djokovic

103

Total

40

Mast

3

Chall

24

Slam

27

Main

2

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

37

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

92

Rank

14

High

30

Age

R

Plays

Aslan Karatsev

16

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

10

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W L W W W W

Form

W W L L L L W L L L

83% (1206-243)

Career Total W/L

59% (405-285)

74% (17-6)

YTD W/L

17% (1-5)

$128,500,285

Career Prize Money

$3,787,005

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Djokovic VS Karatsev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Novak Djokovic Aslan Karatsev
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 6 2
Games Won 45 31
Aces (Total) 20 16
DFs (Total) 10 10
Avg Match Time 2:16:34 2:16:34
1st Serve % 61% (152/248) 58% (152/264)
1st Serve Win% 67% (102/152) 65% (99/152)
2nd Serve Win% 56% (54/96) 38% (42/112)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (15/45) 39% (9/23)
Return Points W% 47% (123/264) 37% (92/248)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)

Djokovic VS Karatsev H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aslan Karatsev
49% ( 25 of 51)
1st Serve %
52% ( 33 of 63)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 9 of 30)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 15 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
67
Total Points Won
47
7-5 4-6 6-4
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Novak Djokovic
63% ( 85 of 135)
1st Serve %
62% ( 72 of 116)
6
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
6
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
44% ( 22 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 21 of 44)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
18% ( 5 of 28)
44% ( 59 of 135)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 51 of 116)
127
Total Points Won
124
6-3 6-4 6-2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aslan Karatsev
68% ( 55 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 34 of 66)
17
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 39 of 55)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
88
Total Points Won
59

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Novak Djokovic Aslan Karatsev
YTD W/L 74% (17/6) 17% (1/5)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (47/22) 31% (5/11)
Games Win/Loss 58% (371/274) 45% (72/87)
Hard Win/Loss 73% (8/3) 0% (0/1)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (9/3) 20% (1/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.48 0.09
Aces Total 150 7
DFs per game 0.14 0.33
DFs Total 44 26
Avg Match Time 2:24:42 2:11:46
Avg Opp Rank 106.09 201
1st Serve % 64% (1258/1972) 62% (320/520)
1st Serve W% 73% (922/1258) 65% (209/320)
2nd Serve W% 55% (392/714) 44% (88/200)
BPs Won% Total 46% (99/217) 37% (19/52)
Return Pts W% 42% (835/1996) 39% (202/513)
Slam W/L 90% (9/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 63% (5/3) 33% (1/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 62% (8/13) 25% (1/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 90% (9/10) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (5/8) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set W% 57% (4/7) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (17/17) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (17/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (6/0) 17% (6/1)

Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
67% ( 123 of 183)
1st Serve %
65% ( 95 of 146)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
69% ( 85 of 123)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 58 of 95)
50% ( 30 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
21% ( 4 of 19)
37% ( 68 of 183)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 56 of 146)
171
Total Points Won
158
W
6-1 5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
65% ( 90 of 139)
1st Serve %
60% ( 87 of 145)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
69% ( 62 of 90)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 51 of 87)
49% ( 24 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 5 of 5)
38% ( 53 of 139)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 64 of 145)
150
Total Points Won
134
W
7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
62% ( 48 of 78)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 23 of 48)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 24 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 43 of 78)
92
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
68% ( 56 of 82)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
4
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
7
84% ( 47 of 56)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
73% ( 19 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
20% ( 16 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
81
W
6-4 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Novak Djokovic
61% ( 46 of 75)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 92)
4
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
59% ( 27 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 38 of 60)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
45% ( 34 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 92)
84
Total Points Won
83
L
6-4 0-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Yannick Hanfmann
66% ( 45 of 68)
1st Serve %
84% ( 42 of 50)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
0
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 24 of 42)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve %
52% ( 27 of 52)
4
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
5
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
75% ( 9 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 10 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
54
Total Points Won
40
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Corentin Moutet
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
76% ( 45 of 59)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 33 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H

Aslan Karatsev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Shevchenko
Player
Aslan Karatsev
55% ( 89 of 161)
1st Serve %
68% ( 89 of 130)
13
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
61% ( 54 of 89)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 59 of 89)
47% ( 34 of 72)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 13 of 41)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
45% ( 73 of 161)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 58 of 130)
146
Total Points Won
145
L
6-4 4-6 1-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Aslan Karatsev
58% ( 32 of 55)
1st Serve %
66% ( 48 of 73)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 28 of 48)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 7 of 25)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 38 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
54
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve %
60% ( 33 of 55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
33% ( 22 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
67
Total Points Won
55
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
64% ( 63 of 99)
1st Serve %
70% ( 58 of 83)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 41 of 58)
53% ( 19 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 38 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 83)
94
Total Points Won
88
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Aslan Karatsev
68% ( 48 of 71)
1st Serve %
52% ( 48 of 93)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
32% ( 23 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 93)
88
Total Points Won
76
L
7-6(6) 7-6(2) H2H
R1
cross
Jason Murray Kubler
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 39 of 70)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
75
L
6-4 6-7(4) ret. H2H
R1
cross
Borna Gojo
Player
Aslan Karatsev
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 11 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
41
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Ben Shelton
Player
Aslan Karatsev
80% ( 40 of 50)
1st Serve %
57% ( 36 of 63)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
22% ( 11 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 28 of 63)
67
Total Points Won
46
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 21 of 30)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 15 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 20 of 54)
64
Total Points Won
49
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Alex De Minaur
62% ( 43 of 69)
1st Serve %
63% ( 30 of 48)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
35% ( 24 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
64
Total Points Won
53
W
6-3 6-2 H2H

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